The U.S. death toll from COVID-19 could top 410,000 by January 1, according to a new projection from the influential Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation — that’s more than double the current death toll, which is approaching 187,000. The institute projects the daily death toll could reach 3,000 per day by December. However, the institute is projecting 120,000 lives could be saved if 95% of the country regularly wore face masks.