An Army Reserve staff sergeant serving in Iraq may face up to 20 years in prison after the publication of an article he wrote titled “Why We Cannot Win” about the situation in Iraq. The soldier, Al Lorenz, has told Salon.com that his commanders are investigating whether the publication of the article constituted disloyalty and insubordination. If charges are filed, Salon reports the case could mark the first disloyalty prosecution since the Vietnam War. In his article that appeared on the site LewRockwell.com, Lorenz wrote, “I have come to the conclusion that we cannot win here for a number of reasons. Ideology and idealism will never trump history and reality.” He then gave four key reasons for the likely failure: a refusal to deal with reality, not understanding what motivates the enemy, an overabundance of guerrilla fighters, and the enemy’s shorter line of supplies and communication. Lorenz has served in the military for over 20 years.